Agronometrics in Charts: Peru Poised to Surpass Chile as the Leading Supplier of Grapes in the 2022/23 Season

By Agronometrics | 25 November 2022

In this installment of the ‘Agronometrics In Charts’ series, Sarah Ilyas studies the state of the Peruvian grape season. Each week the series looks at a different horticultural commodity, focusing on a specific origin or topic visualizing the market factors that are driving change.


According to a recently published USDA Fresh Deciduous Fruit Annual Report, Grape production in Peru is forecast to reach 766,000 metric tons (MT) in the 2022/2023 season, an increase of seven percent compared to the previous year. Domestic consumption of fresh grapes is forecast at 186,000 MT in MY (Marketing Year) 2022/2023, a six percent increase from MY 2021/22. Peruvian grape exports are forecast to reach a record of 586,000 MT in MY 2022/2023, eight percent higher than the previous year. Additionally, the United States will continue to be the lead export market. 

The heat waves in California and the capricious weather in Chile could result in a drop in crop size in the US by 10-20 million cartons compared to last season. “All this adds up to strong demand for Peruvian grapes out of the gate and it’s likely to stay that way well into our season, says Dirk Winkelmann, president of Vanguard Direct LLC.

grape volumes by history 10 1

Source: USDA Market News via Agronometrics.
(Agronometrics users can view this chart with live updates here)

Fernando Cillóniz Benavides, president of Inform@cción claims that in the 2022/2023 campaign, Peru will peg itself as the world’s leading exporter of table grapes in terms of volume, surpassing Chile. In the 2021/2022 campaign, Peru positioned itself as the leader in global exports of table grapes in terms of value. Cillóniz emphasized that the 2022/23 campaign is likely to be a lengthy one since there will be higher volumes of early and late fruit. “We are entering the important months for table grapes, in October we will have more early grapes, in December and January -which is the peak of the campaign- there will be a lot of fruit and in February, March and even April there will be a lot of grapes, because the producers have pruned late”, he concluded.

Gabriel Noboa, a member of the commercial board of the Peruvian Association of Table Grape Producers (PROVID) and commercial manager of agricultural Don Ricardo cautions that “there is a potential risk that grapes could be replaced by cheaper products such as bananas. If consumption of regular table grapes changes, purchase volumes will drop”. The ongoing logistics crisis has led to spikes in costs and freight rates. Moreover, delays in fruit deliveries have led to losses in sales due to the failure to meet delivery dates, in addition to lower prices.

grape prices by variety 5

Source: USDA Market News via Agronometrics.
(Agronometrics users can view this chart with live updates here)

Peru continues to grow high quality varieties that are demanded by global markets. It holds a competitive edge over the competition in terms of fewer adverse weather events, which makes the country a reliable supplier for the global market. Peru also continues to work hard to access new markets, a case in point is Japan, which is witnessing the first set of grape shipments from Peru.

grape volumes by origin 7 2

Source: USDA Market News via Agronometrics.
(Agronometrics users can view this chart with live updates here)

In our ‘In Charts’ series, we work to tell some of the stories that are moving the industry. Feel free to take a look at the other articles by clicking here

All pricing for domestic US produce represents the spot market at Shipping Point (i.e. packing house/climate controlled warehouse, etc.). For imported fruit, the pricing data represents the spot market at Port of Entry.

You can keep track of the markets daily through Agronometrics, a data visualization tool built to help the industry make sense of the huge amounts of data that professionals need to access to make informed decisions.If you found the information and the charts from this article useful, feel free to visit us at www.agronometrics.com where you can easily access these same graphs, or explore the other 21 commodities we currently track.

Written by: Sarah Ilyas

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